Bennet overtakes Buck, poll shows

Posted by Pam Zubeck on Wed, Oct 6, 2010 at 10:34 AM

With polls showing a seesaw between U.S. Senate candidates, one thing is sure. The race is a close one.

Buck - just a smidgen behind.
  • Buck - just a smidgen behind.

The Denver Post reported last weekend that Ken Buck, the Republican, was ahead of Democrat Michael Bennet by 48 percent to 43 percent.

Days after that Denver Post/News9 poll, Bennet's camp today announced the outcome of a new poll that shows the Democrat leading.

Bennet - leading but for how long?
  • Bennet - leading but for how long.

Here's the press release:

According to our just-completed survey, Michael Bennet holds a 3% lead over Ken Buck
among likely voters in Colorado. Overall, 44% of likely voters prefer Michael Bennet
versus 41% for Ken Buck, 2% for Libertarian Maclyn Stringer, 1% for Green candidate
Bob Kinsey, and 13% are undecided.

Among those who say they will definitely vote, Bennet holds a 2% lead over Buck —
45% to 43% — with 10% undecided. And among the pivotal Independent voters, Bennet
leads by a 45% to 34% margin.

Notwithstanding the unprecedented barrage of Republican negative ads against
Michael Bennet — in excess of 2-to-1 versus the Democratic side — the Senator’s
popularity continues to hold up since the August primary (36% positive, 34% negative,
essentially unchanged since mid-August).

By contrast, Ken Buck’s negatives continue to rise (now 31% positive, 41% negative) as
voters become more familiar with his issue stands and extremism. In mid-August,
Buck’s feelings were 28% positive and 24% negative, so his negatives have risen 17%.
The sample in this internal survey was conservative. It includes a 5% Republican
advantage (39% registered Republicans, 34% registered Democrats, 27% registered
unaffiliated) — twice the Republican edge in the statewide active voter file.

The survey was conducted by Harstad Strategic Research among a cross-section of
509 likely voters in Colorado drawn from a voter sample. It was interviewed by
telephone from October 3 to 4, 2010. The overall results are subject to a statistical
margin-of-error of plus-or-minus 4.4%.

Comments (1)

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Harstad Strategic Research is hardly a reliable non-partisan polling firm. The main page of its website tauts HSR's role in helping elect Obama in 2008 and other Democrat candidates in prior elections. Hardly reliable.

report   
Posted by Spencermail on 10/08/2010 at 5:47 PM
Showing 1-1 of 1

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